The Madness began last night and we had one barn burner and one complete blowout. If you read my article here, we came up with a small loss with Howard (0.5 units). But if you read my full article at Win Daily Sports then you won money as I hammered Colorado State over UVA. I’m giving out my other small play here for tonight but both plays are over at Win Daily. Don’t forget to check out all of our experts as well as my full set of picks on their bet tracker.
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Both games tonight feature a small edge. We’ve seen some good action on both sides in each game and the market has settled as we’re 1.5 hours from tipoff. For the early game, Montana State is seeing just 39% of the money. I’m actually good with that and happy to take the points. Here’s why:
WEDNESDAY MARCH 19th – DAYTON, OH (2 Games)
Game 3: #16 Grambling State Tigers at #16 Montana State Bobcats (Midwest Region 640pm)
Howard made a heck of a run late in the game yesterday to almost pull off a historic comeback. But they fell just short, literally speaking as all three of their final attempts to tie the game fell woefully short. But for a “Fun Bet” at 0.5 units, I got the price of admission. Speaking of admission, I feel like I struggle in 16 seed vs 16 seed matchups every year. So take this one for what it’s worth. Or maybe give it some extra juice as I’m bound to hit one!
Grambling State comes in this game on a significant hot streak. They started the season 2-10 and finished with a 20-14 record. Of late, GSU is 9-1 in their last 10 games with the only loss coming in double OT versus Alabama State. The Tigers finished first in their conference and ran away from each team in the Southwestern Athletic Conference to claim their first ever NCAA appearance. The issue with the Tigers is that they don’t do anything particularly well. On offense, they rank in the bottom 10% of the nation in scoring. The only thing that stands out is they get to the line, and Montana State will help them with that. But they’re FT% is just 112th in the nation.
As for Montana State, the Bobcats are a prolific offensive team ranking in the top 65 in effective FG%, 2-pt FG% and 3-pt FG%. And defensively they create turnovers with a top 50 steal percentage. And Grambling State will cough it up as they rank 344th in TO%.
I’m going back to the well and taking the more profound shooting team in a 16 seed matchup. Hopefully this one will give it a little more legs to get us to the window and cash us a ticket before the real games start.