So I finally get a site created and post an article. And all I do is give you an 0-2 mark. It’s how this stuff works! But I’ve been posting winners for 2 straight years on Win Daily Sports and confident we’ll come out more on top than we do on the other side. So stick with me, and like I said, Trust The Process.
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Today we are without College Hoops. But the NBA is live and well with eight games on the slate. After some in-depth research, here are the games I’m betting today (barring last minute injuries and such).
CLEVELAND CAVS +6.5 at INDIANA PACERS
The Cavaliers are clinging to the 3 seed in the East as they hold a 2 game edge on the Knicks. They would have a shot at the 2 seed if they weren’t decimated by injuries. Donovan Mitchell played the last two games but missed seven straight prior to that. However, he’s ruled out tonight with the same knee injury he was nursing for 13 days. Max Strus and Evan Mobley are also out leaving the Cavs with a short bench.
But the Cavs have rolled out a similar lineup in the past 2 weeks and been able to compete, let alone win games such as their recent victory against the Timberwolves.
As for the Pacers, they have played mixed basketball of late going 5-5 straight up and ATS in their past 10 games. They normally fare much better as an underdog (22-13 ATS) and struggle in the favorite role (15-18 ATS). Indiana does even worse as a 5 to 10 point fave as they are just 6-10 ATS in that spot.
The Cavs fare well in the role as a dog of 5 to 10 points going 8-3 ATS. On the road, in the same spot, they’re 6-2 ATS.
While this is a tough spot due to injuries and they’ll be impacted by Indiana’s pace, the Cavs should be able to put up enough 3’s to stay in this game. The public is on Indiana with 57% of the bets coming in on the fave. I’ll take the dog in this one and hope Cleveland can stay connected long enough to put some money in our pockets.
Memphis Grizzlies +11 at Sacramento Kings
Close your eyes and just put some faith in these numbers. The Kings are a team we tend to fade at home as they are just 13-19 ATS on their home court. They are just 11-18 ATS as a home favorite. And they are 0-5 ATS as a home fave of 10 points or more.
We know the Grizzlies stink and are punting on this season. But they are good in the dog role. They are 16-12 ATS as a road dog. And 19-14 ATS overall on the road. Even more importantly, they are 24-18 ATS against teams above 0.500.
It’s scary anytime you back a team who has turned it’s sights to 2025. But Desmond Bane is back and Jared Jackson is playing 35+ minutes a night. There’s still enough NBA talent on this team for them to be competitive. Note only 30% of they money and 37% of the bets are on the team from Tennessee. But that’s OK by me, as I’m trusting the season performances and taking another road dog.